▦ FDB4
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Match official

J Simpson

2008–2025 · 4 competitions
Matches 395
Draws 114
Draw % 28.9% +4.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 395 matches (Aug 2008 – May 2025), J Simpson drew 114 where the draw model expected 109.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 107.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 236 72 30.5%
ENG · League One 69 15 21.7%
ENG · National League 48 18 37.5%
ENG · League Two 42 9 21.4%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2024/25 15 4 26.7%
2023/24 18 6 33.3%
2022/23 27 11 40.7%
2021/22 33 7 21.2%
2020/21 27 7 25.9%
2019/20 28 8 28.6%
2018/19 34 9 26.5%
2017/18 36 12 33.3%
2016/17 37 11 29.7%
2015/16 31 10 32.3%
2014/15 30 4 13.3%
2013/14 30 7 23.3%
2011/12 24 9 37.5%
2010/11 13 4 30.8%
2009/10 6 2 33.3%
2008/09 6 3 50.0%
Latest matches last 50

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