J Linington
Over 485 matches (Aug 2006 – Mar 2026), J Linington drew 107 where the draw model expected 134.7 from those particular fixtures — about 28 fewer, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 132.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 315 | 61 | 19.4% |
| ENG · League One | 79 | 19 | 24.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 72 | 21 | 29.2% |
| ENG · National League | 19 | 6 | 31.6% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% |
| 2024/25 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| 2023/24 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| 2022/23 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% |
| 2021/22 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% |
| 2020/21 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2019/20 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2018/19 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2017/18 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% |
| 2016/17 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2015/16 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% |
| 2014/15 | 32 | 3 | 9.4% |
| 2013/14 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% |
| 2011/12 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2010/11 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| 2009/10 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2008/09 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| 2007/08 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| 2006/07 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Harrogate Town | 0–1 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Stoke City | 2–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Feb 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–2 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Norwich City | 2–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Leicester City | 1–2 | Oxford United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Birmingham City | 3–2 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Swansea City | 1–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 1–1 | Queens Park Rangers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Oxford United | 1–2 | Preston North End | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 2–2 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 3–2 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Nov 2025 | Coventry City | 3–1 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Millwall | 2–0 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Preston North End | 2–0 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Barnsley | 0–2 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 0–1 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Bristol City | 2–2 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–5 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Derby County | 0–1 | Luton Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Oxford United | 1–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Bristol City | 1–1 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Stevenage | 1–2 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Feb 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–1 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Jan 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2–2 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Jan 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–1 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Portsmouth | 4–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Burnley | 2–1 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Dec 2024 | Cardiff City | 0–2 | Preston North End | A | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Leyton Orient | 3–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Watford | 1–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Nov 2024 | Coventry City | 1–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Bristol City | 0–0 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–2 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–1 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Burnley | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Coventry City | 1–2 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Stockport County | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Sep 2024 | Oldham Athletic | 1–1 | Southend United | D | ENG · National League |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Norwich City | 2–2 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Huddersfield Town | 1–0 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Norwich City | 2–1 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Wigan Athletic | 1–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Tranmere Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |