▦ FDB4
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Match official

J Bell

2019–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 161
Draws 42
Draw % 26.1% +1.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 161 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), J Bell drew 42 where the draw model expected 44.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 43.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 68 19 27.9%
ENG · League One 38 8 21.1%
ENG · League Two 38 14 36.8%
ENG · National League 17 1 5.9%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 4 1 25.0%
2025/26 17 3 17.6%
2024/25 30 13 43.3%
2023/24 24 6 25.0%
2022/23 16 4 25.0%
2021/22 26 6 23.1%
2020/21 27 8 29.6%
2019/20 17 1 5.9%
Latest matches last 50

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