▦ FDB4
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Match official

G Sutton

2005–2015 · 4 competitions
Matches 215
Draws 63
Draw % 29.3% +5.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 215 matches (Aug 2005 – Sep 2015), G Sutton drew 63 where the draw model expected 59.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 58.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 91 25 27.5%
ENG · League One 73 25 34.2%
ENG · National League 26 8 30.8%
ENG · Championship 25 5 20.0%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2015/16 5 1 20.0%
2014/15 29 11 37.9%
2013/14 26 7 26.9%
2011/12 33 8 24.2%
2010/11 23 7 30.4%
2009/10 23 5 21.7%
2008/09 13 3 23.1%
2007/08 13 5 38.5%
2006/07 26 11 42.3%
2005/06 24 5 20.8%
Latest matches last 50

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