G Scott
Over 410 matches (Aug 2005 – Apr 2025), G Scott drew 93 where the draw model expected 109.9 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 133 | 27 | 20.3% |
| ENG · Premier League | 105 | 17 | 16.2% |
| ENG · League One | 68 | 15 | 22.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 66 | 22 | 33.3% |
| ENG · National League | 38 | 12 | 31.6% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2022/23 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% |
| 2021/22 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% |
| 2020/21 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% |
| 2018/19 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2017/18 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
| 2016/17 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% |
| 2015/16 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% |
| 2014/15 | 34 | 6 | 17.6% |
| 2013/14 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2011/12 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% |
| 2010/11 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2009/10 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% |
| 2008/09 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2007/08 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| 2006/07 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| 2005/06 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Blackpool | 2–1 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 2–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 May 2024 | Burnley | 1–2 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2024 | Brentford | 0–0 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Crystal Palace | 5–2 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Apr 2024 | Bournemouth | 1–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Hull City | 0–2 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Preston North End | 3–2 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Reading | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2023 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–3 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Southampton | 4–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Manchester United | 1–0 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Nov 2023 | Rotherham United | 2–2 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Stoke City | 2–1 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Sep 2023 | West Ham United | 2–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2023 | Norwich City | 0–2 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Leicester City | 2–1 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Apr 2023 | Luton Town | 2–1 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Apr 2023 | Leicester City | 1–2 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Watford | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Millwall | 2–3 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Feb 2023 | Blackpool | 2–2 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Rotherham United | 0–0 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Fulham | 2–1 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Nov 2022 | Birmingham City | 0–0 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Fulham | 2–2 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Oct 2022 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–3 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Birmingham City | 0–0 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–0 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Jul 2022 | Luton Town | 0–0 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 07 May 2022 | Crystal Palace | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Nottingham Forest | 5–1 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Aston Villa | 0–4 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Luton Town | 2–2 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Southampton | 1–2 | Watford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Burnley | 1–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Everton | 3–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Derby County | 2–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Norwich City | 0–5 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Dec 2021 | Burnley | 0–0 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2021 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Nov 2021 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Crystal Palace | 2–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |