▦ FDB4
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Match official

G Duncan

2017–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 157
Draws 45
Draw % 28.7% +4.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 157 matches (Aug 2017 – Mar 2026), G Duncan drew 45 where the draw model expected 38.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Championship 54 14 25.9%
SCO · Scottish League One 45 13 28.9%
SCO · Scottish Premiership 33 10 30.3%
SCO · Scottish League Two 25 8 32.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2025/26 6 1 16.7%
2024/25 13 2 15.4%
2023/24 17 5 29.4%
2022/23 16 4 25.0%
2021/22 23 10 43.5%
2020/21 17 6 35.3%
2019/20 17 5 29.4%
2018/19 21 4 19.0%
2017/18 27 8 29.6%
Latest matches last 50

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