☆
· SCO · Scottish League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Played
237
Draw %
24.9%
No-draw N
13
Max streak
13
14 Jul 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
Avg top run
8.5
top 10
Draw debt E
3.38
p50
26.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.634
rank #12
Draws
59
Trophies
🏆 1 × Champion
(2021)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,358
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,587
reached 18 Dec 2021
Rank
#14,548
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
237
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 237 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Kelty Hearts drew 59 where the draw model expected 54.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 52.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
14 Jul 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
2 11
13 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024
3 10
26 Jul 2025 → 07 Oct 2025
4 10
25 Jan 2022 → 12 Mar 2022
5 9
27 Aug 2022 → 29 Oct 2022
6 8
30 Apr 2022 → 13 Aug 2022
7 6
22 Nov 2025 → 27 Dec 2025
8 6
14 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024
9 6
12 Nov 2022 → 24 Dec 2022
10 6
09 Jul 2021 → 07 Aug 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 14 Jul 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 13 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 26 Jul 2025 → 07 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Jan 2022 → 12 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 27 Aug 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 Apr 2022 → 13 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 22 Nov 2025 → 27 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 14 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 12 Nov 2022 → 24 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 09 Jul 2021 → 07 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 144 | 40 | 27.8% | 4 | 11 |
| Scottish League Two | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 | 10 |
| Scottish League Cup | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 3 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 1 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 13 |
| 2025 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2022 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2021 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
237 matches · page 1 / 6
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Cup
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
|
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| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:00 |
Edinburgh City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Annan Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Edinburgh City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Dec 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 26 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Dec 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.