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Match official

G Aitken

2014–2023 · 4 competitions
Matches 149
Draws 40
Draw % 26.9% +2.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 149 matches (Nov 2014 – Apr 2023), G Aitken drew 40 where the draw model expected 37.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 37.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 62 23 37.1%
SCO · Scottish Championship 59 15 25.4%
SCO · Scottish League One 27 1 3.7%
SCO · Scottish League Two 1 1 100.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2022/23 14 2 14.3%
2021/22 23 6 26.1%
2020/21 19 5 26.3%
2019/20 19 6 31.6%
2018/19 30 6 20.0%
2017/18 25 7 28.0%
2016/17 7 4 57.1%
2015/16 7 3 42.9%
2014/15 5 1 20.0%
Latest matches last 50

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