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E Duckworth

2022–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 109
Draws 25
Draw % 22.9% -1.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 109 matches (Aug 2022 – Oct 2026), E Duckworth drew 25 where the draw model expected 29.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 29.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 47 7 14.9%
ENG · League Two 37 8 21.6%
ENG · National League 15 6 40.0%
ENG · Championship 10 4 40.0%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 11 5 45.5%
2025/26 37 5 13.5%
2024/25 19 3 15.8%
2023/24 27 6 22.2%
2022/23 15 6 40.0%
Latest matches last 50

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