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D Sheldrake

2006–2015 · 4 competitions
Matches 168
Draws 41
Draw % 24.4% +0.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 168 matches (Aug 2006 – Apr 2015), D Sheldrake drew 41 where the draw model expected 46.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 44.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 57 14 24.6%
ENG · League One 51 10 19.6%
ENG · National League 42 12 28.6%
ENG · Championship 18 5 27.8%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2014/15 27 5 18.5%
2013/14 28 7 25.0%
2011/12 29 6 20.7%
2010/11 22 7 31.8%
2009/10 22 4 18.2%
2008/09 15 4 26.7%
2007/08 11 5 45.5%
2006/07 14 3 21.4%
Latest matches last 50

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