D Phillips
Over 168 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2014), D Phillips drew 48 where the draw model expected 45.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 56 | 16 | 28.6% |
| ENG · League One | 54 | 16 | 29.6% |
| ENG · National League | 36 | 10 | 27.8% |
| ENG · Championship | 22 | 6 | 27.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013/14 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% |
| 2010/11 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2009/10 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2008/09 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2007/08 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| 2006/07 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% |
| 2005/06 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2014 | Brentford | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2014 | Peterborough United | 4–1 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Apr 2014 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Mar 2014 | Leyton Orient | 0–1 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Mar 2014 | Torquay United | 2–1 | Bury | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2014 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–1 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 08 Mar 2014 | Exeter City | 2–2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2014 | Colchester United | 1–2 | Preston North End | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Jan 2014 | Bristol Rovers | 0–1 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Jan 2014 | Bristol City | 2–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Jan 2014 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–3 | AFC Wimbledon | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2014 | Southend United | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Dec 2013 | Stevenage | 0–0 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2013 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Walsall | A | ENG · League One |
| 30 Nov 2013 | Northampton Town | 1–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Nov 2013 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 2–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Oct 2013 | Reading | 1–1 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Oct 2013 | Gillingham | 2–1 | Notts County | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Oct 2013 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Sep 2013 | Bristol City | 1–1 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Sep 2013 | Newport County | 1–1 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Aug 2013 | Brentford | 0–0 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League One |
| 17 Aug 2013 | York City | 0–0 | Hartlepool United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Apr 2012 | Swindon Town | 5–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Apr 2012 | Leeds United | 4–1 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Apr 2012 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League One |
| 06 Apr 2012 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–2 | Rotherham United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Mar 2012 | Northampton Town | 0–0 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2012 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 2–0 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Mar 2012 | Crawley Town | 2–2 | Aldershot Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Mar 2012 | Southampton | 2–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Mar 2012 | Wycombe Wanderers | 4–2 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Feb 2012 | Gillingham | 5–4 | Hereford United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Feb 2012 | Burnley | 1–3 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Feb 2012 | Peterborough United | 3–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2012 | Cheltenham Town | 0–2 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Jan 2012 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 Jan 2012 | Swindon Town | 2–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2011 | Leyton Orient | 0–3 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Dec 2011 | Stevenage | 2–1 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 09 Dec 2011 | Torquay United | 1–0 | Barnet | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Nov 2011 | Cardiff City | 1–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Nov 2011 | Millwall | 3–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Oct 2011 | Walsall | 0–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Oct 2011 | Ipswich Town | 0–1 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Oct 2011 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–3 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Oct 2011 | Yeovil Town | 1–3 | Bury | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Sep 2011 | Birmingham City | 1–1 | Barnsley | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Sep 2011 | Southend United | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Sep 2011 | Cheltenham Town | 2–0 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |