D Bond
Over 391 matches (Aug 2008 – May 2025), D Bond drew 102 where the draw model expected 106.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 105.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 233 | 66 | 28.3% |
| ENG · League One | 54 | 8 | 14.8% |
| ENG · National League | 47 | 15 | 31.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 34 | 7 | 20.6% |
| ENG · Premier League | 23 | 6 | 26.1% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2022/23 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% |
| 2021/22 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| 2020/21 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% |
| 2019/20 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 2018/19 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% |
| 2017/18 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% |
| 2016/17 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% |
| 2015/16 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2014/15 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% |
| 2013/14 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2011/12 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2010/11 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| 2009/10 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| 2008/09 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2025 | Southampton | 1–2 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 5–3 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Leeds United | 6–0 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–2 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Bristol City | 2–1 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Hull City | 0–1 | Luton Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Everton | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Sunderland | 2–1 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Southampton | 0–4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Everton | 4–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 0–1 | Queens Park Rangers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Fulham | 2–2 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Liverpool | 3–1 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Cardiff City | 0–2 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Coventry City | 2–2 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Brentford | 3–2 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Crystal Palace | 1–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Leicester City | 1–0 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Millwall | 3–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Fulham | 2–1 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 May 2024 | Crystal Palace | 5–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2024 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2024 | Queens Park Rangers | 4–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Leicester City | 3–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Burnley | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Millwall | 1–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Norwich City | 4–1 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Burnley | 2–2 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Middlesbrough | 1–1 | Rotherham United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Leicester City | 3–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Millwall | 1–1 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Sunderland | 2–1 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Sep 2023 | Huddersfield Town | 2–2 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Cardiff City | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Fulham | 0–3 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Aug 2023 | Leicester City | 2–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Birmingham City | 0–0 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Middlesbrough | 1–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Apr 2023 | Bournemouth | 0–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Norwich City | 0–1 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Brentford | 1–1 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2023 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–1 | Reading | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Bristol City | 2–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Rotherham United | 3–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Feb 2023 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–0 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |