Match official

D Bond

2008–2025 · 5 competitions
Matches 391
Draws 102
Draw % 26.1% +1.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5

Over 391 matches (Aug 2008 – May 2025), D Bond drew 102 where the draw model expected 106.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 105.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 233 66 28.3%
ENG · League One 54 8 14.8%
ENG · National League 47 15 31.9%
ENG · League Two 34 7 20.6%
ENG · Premier League 23 6 26.1%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2024/25 23 5 21.7%
2023/24 18 4 22.2%
2022/23 33 8 24.2%
2021/22 15 5 33.3%
2020/21 30 4 13.3%
2019/20 30 10 33.3%
2018/19 33 12 36.4%
2017/18 36 8 22.2%
2016/17 35 13 37.1%
2015/16 31 6 19.4%
2014/15 32 7 21.9%
2013/14 28 5 17.9%
2011/12 25 7 28.0%
2010/11 10 4 40.0%
2009/10 8 3 37.5%
2008/09 4 1 25.0%
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