▦ FDB4
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Match official

Alan Butler

2000–2004 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: A Butler, A. N. Butler, Andrew Butler, Butler, A. N.
Matches 116
Draws 31
Draw % 26.7% +2.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 116 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2004), Alan Butler drew 31 where the draw model expected 32.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 31.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 43 9 20.9%
ENG · Championship 40 12 30.0%
ENG · League One 33 10 30.3%
By season 4 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2003/04 29 5 17.2%
2002/03 25 7 28.0%
2001/02 30 8 26.7%
2000/01 32 11 34.4%
Latest matches last 50

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