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Match official

A Woolmer

2004–2023 · 4 competitions
Matches 519
Draws 154
Draw % 29.7% +5.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 519 matches (Sep 2004 – May 2023), A Woolmer drew 154 where the draw model expected 145.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 141.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 223 70 31.4%
ENG · League One 154 45 29.2%
ENG · League Two 141 39 27.7%
ENG · National League 1 0 0.0%
By season 18 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2022/23 33 12 36.4%
2021/22 31 8 25.8%
2020/21 30 8 26.7%
2019/20 31 10 32.3%
2018/19 25 7 28.0%
2017/18 20 7 35.0%
2016/17 18 6 33.3%
2015/16 32 13 40.6%
2014/15 32 9 28.1%
2013/14 23 5 21.7%
2011/12 31 8 25.8%
2010/11 35 6 17.1%
2009/10 30 10 33.3%
2008/09 34 9 26.5%
2007/08 33 12 36.4%
2006/07 31 11 35.5%
2005/06 36 7 19.4%
2004/05 14 6 42.9%
Latest matches last 50

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