▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

A Leake

2001–2006 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: A. R. Leake, Leake, A. R.
Matches 131
Draws 38
Draw % 29.0% +4.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 131 matches (Aug 2001 – Apr 2006), A Leake drew 38 where the draw model expected 37.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 35.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 52 15 28.8%
ENG · League Two 41 12 29.3%
ENG · League One 38 11 28.9%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2005/06 34 11 32.4%
2004/05 17 6 35.3%
2003/04 23 6 26.1%
2002/03 25 5 20.0%
2001/02 32 10 31.3%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy