What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 469 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stranraer drew 103 where the draw model expected 109.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 31 Jan 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 28 | 13 Dec 1997 → 19 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 30 Aug 2003 → 21 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 19 Mar 2016 → 15 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 13 Jan 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 05 Mar 2022 → 06 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 03 Oct 1998 → 02 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 18 Feb 2012 → 04 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 16 Jan 1999 → 08 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Aug 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 567 | 143 | 25.2% | 3 | 27 |
| Scottish League Two | 391 | 93 | 23.8% | 0 | 21 |
| Scottish Championship | 108 | 21 | 19.4% | 0 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 67 | 10 | 14.9% | 2 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 66 | 15 | 22.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 3 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 19 |
| 2015 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 30 |
| 2014 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 5 |
| 2012 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2011 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2010 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2007 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2005 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 16 |
| 2002 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 13 |
| 1998 | 39 | 1 | 2.6% | 25 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 1995 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.