Stoke City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 587 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Stoke City drew 158 where the draw model expected 160.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 27 Aug 2005 → 31 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 07 Mar 1998 → 03 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 06 Jan 2024 → 29 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 18 Oct 2025 → 20 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 27 Sep 2019 → 10 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 30 Oct 1993 → 01 Jan 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 04 Nov 2011 → 21 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 23 Feb 2002 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 29 Jan 1999 → 03 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 27 Aug 1994 → 09 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 882 | 243 | 27.6% | 2 | 26 |
| Premier League | 380 | 109 | 28.7% | 2 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 341 | 94 | 27.6% | 2 | 5 |
| League Cup | 206 | 53 | 25.7% | 0 | 6 |
| League One | 184 | 44 | 23.9% | 0 | 11 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 14 |
| 2023 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 13 |
| 2018 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2016 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 6 |
| 2013 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2009 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 2007 | 48 | 19 | 39.6% | 7 |
| 2006 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 49 | 4 | 8.2% | 23 |
| 2004 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2002 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2001 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2000 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 1999 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 1998 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 23 |
| 1997 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 1996 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1994 | 55 | 20 | 36.4% | 11 |
| 1993 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 11 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 3 |
| 1971 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 |
| 1964 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 2 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1926 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1907 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1902 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1901 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1898 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1897 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1895 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1894 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1892 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1890 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1888 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Bolton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Derby County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.