☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
AUT · Club
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Played
886
Draw %
20.3%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
28
21 Nov 2020 → 25 Apr 2021
Avg top run
17.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.25
p50
26.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.104
rank #1,504
Draws
180
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,818
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,085
reached 27 Oct 2021
Rank
#125
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
886
last 15 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 17 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 548 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Red Bull Salzburg drew 112 where the draw model expected 98.4 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 130.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 28
21 Nov 2020 → 25 Apr 2021
2 23
05 Apr 2014 → 18 Oct 2014
3 21
29 Sep 2013 → 26 Mar 2014
4 19
24 Apr 2019 → 17 Sep 2019
5 17
24 Jun 2022 → 03 Sep 2022
6 15
01 May 2021 → 11 Sep 2021
7 15
13 May 2018 → 07 Oct 2018
8 14
23 Oct 2016 → 05 Mar 2017
9 12
10 Apr 1993 → 16 Oct 1993
10 11
04 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 Nov 2020 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 05 Apr 2014 → 18 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 21 | 29 Sep 2013 → 26 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 24 Apr 2019 → 17 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 24 Jun 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 01 May 2021 → 11 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 13 May 2018 → 07 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 23 Oct 2016 → 05 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 10 Apr 1993 → 16 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 04 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 480 | 104 | 21.7% | 0 | 20 |
| Austrian Cup | 257 | 50 | 19.5% | 1 | 14 |
| UEFA Champions League | 72 | 17 | 23.6% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 6 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2023 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2022 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 17 |
| 2021 | 54 | 5 | 9.3% | 19 |
| 2020 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 19 |
| 2018 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2017 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2015 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 23 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2012 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2006 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1994 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 1992 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
vs |
|
1.36 4.80 6.80 | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 19:00 |
NK Celje
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 17:45 |
RSC Anderlecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.5% |
|
| Thu, 26 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Nov 17:45 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.