☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
ARM · Club
Ararat-Armenia
FC Ararat-Armenia
Played
290
Draw %
19.3%
No-draw N
7
Max streak
18
22 May 2021 → 28 Nov 2021
Avg top run
11.5
top 10
Draw debt E
1.12
p50
16.0%
p100
16.0%
Draw score
0.308
rank #391
Draws
56
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,730
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,793
reached 25 Apr 2025
Rank
#243
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
290
last 3 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 290 matches (Sep 2017 – Oct 2026), Ararat-Armenia drew 56 where the draw model expected 59.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 59.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 18
22 May 2021 → 28 Nov 2021
2 14
15 Mar 2025 → 28 May 2025
3 14
26 May 2024 → 06 Nov 2024
4 12
28 Aug 2022 → 03 Nov 2022
5 12
18 Sep 2019 → 04 Nov 2019
6 12
26 Apr 2019 → 09 Sep 2019
7 10
31 Oct 2018 → 17 Mar 2019
8 9
03 Mar 2024 → 17 Apr 2024
9 7
03 May 2026 → 03 Oct 2026
10 7
03 May 2022 → 11 Aug 2022
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 22 May 2021 → 28 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 Mar 2025 → 28 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 May 2024 → 06 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 28 Aug 2022 → 03 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Sep 2019 → 04 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Apr 2019 → 09 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 31 Oct 2018 → 17 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 Mar 2024 → 17 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 May 2026 → 03 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 03 May 2022 → 11 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 244 | 49 | 20.1% | 8 | 16 |
| Armenian Cup | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 14 |
| 2024 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2023 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2021 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 18 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2018 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
290 matches · page 1 / 8
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 19:00 |
Jagiellonia Białystok
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 16:45 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
Torreense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.