☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
DEN · Club
FC Nordsjælland
FC Nordsjælland
Played
576
Draw %
24.5%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
15
16 Aug 2015 → 06 Dec 2015
Avg top run
10.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.70
p50
24.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.204
rank #749
Draws
141
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,842
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,888
reached 5 Aug 2024
Rank
#105
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
576
last 3 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 452 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Nordsjælland drew 112 where the draw model expected 111.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
16 Aug 2015 → 06 Dec 2015
2 14
04 Apr 2015 → 03 Aug 2015
3 11
12 May 2017 → 27 Aug 2017
4 10
22 Nov 2024 → 13 Apr 2025
5 10
02 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021
6 9
16 May 2025 → 31 Aug 2025
7 9
09 Sep 2018 → 20 Oct 2018
8 8
29 Jul 2018 → 26 Aug 2018
9 8
06 Dec 2013 → 31 Mar 2014
10 8
15 Jul 2008 → 28 Sep 2008
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 16 Aug 2015 → 06 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 04 Apr 2015 → 03 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 12 May 2017 → 27 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Nov 2024 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 02 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 16 May 2025 → 31 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Sep 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 29 Jul 2018 → 26 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 06 Dec 2013 → 31 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 15 Jul 2008 → 28 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 477 | 122 | 25.6% | 2 | 22 |
| Danish Cup | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 4 |
| 2021 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 |
| 2017 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 35 | 2 | 5.7% | 15 |
| 2014 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
576 matches · page 1 / 15
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 19:00 |
Heart of Midlothian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 16:45 |
FC Nordsjælland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.