Preston North End
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 613 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Preston North End drew 173 where the draw model expected 170.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 164.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 02 Dec 2006 → 06 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 05 Oct 2022 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 10 Nov 2007 → 17 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 09 Dec 2000 → 03 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 23 Sep 2020 → 01 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 20 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 30 Sep 1997 → 02 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 25 Jan 1997 → 31 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 03 Sep 1994 → 26 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 16 Aug 2011 → 22 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1020 | 289 | 28.3% | 0 | 26 |
| League One | 368 | 107 | 29.1% | 3 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 365 | 70 | 19.2% | 1 | 7 |
| League Cup | 189 | 43 | 22.8% | 1 | 5 |
| League Two | 130 | 40 | 30.8% | 5 | 19 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| FA Community Shield | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 55 | 21 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2024 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 14 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2019 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2016 | 57 | 15 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2015 | 59 | 20 | 33.9% | 8 |
| 2014 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 14 |
| 2013 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 53 | 21 | 39.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 13 |
| 2010 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2007 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 23 |
| 2006 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2005 | 48 | 21 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 9 |
| 2003 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2002 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2000 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1999 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 1997 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 14 |
| 1996 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 8 |
| 1995 | 46 | 20 | 43.5% | 6 |
| 1994 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 14 |
| 1993 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1960 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1959 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1946 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1937 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1935 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1902 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1901 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1894 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1893 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1892 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1890 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1889 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1888 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1887 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Preston North End
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Birmingham City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Preston North End
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Preston North End
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Preston North End
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.