Oud-Heverlee Leuven
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 290 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Oud-Heverlee Leuven drew 82 where the draw model expected 68.5 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 05 Nov 2021 → 22 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Sep 2023 → 02 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 17 Oct 2015 → 19 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 07 Feb 2026 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 02 Apr 2022 → 27 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 29 Jul 2011 → 21 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 01 Aug 2026 → 06 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 Aug 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 Mar 2023 → 23 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 26 Sep 2012 → 04 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 350 | 106 | 30.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Belgian Cup | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2022 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2015 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2013 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 7 |
| 2011 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:00 |
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:15 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 15:00 |
Sint-Truidense VV
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:15 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.