Nottingham Forest
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 594 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Nottingham Forest drew 156 where the draw model expected 158.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 04 Apr 2017 → 16 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 23 Aug 2011 → 10 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 08 Jan 2010 → 29 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 21 Oct 2024 → 11 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 21 Oct 2000 → 26 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 09 Nov 2025 → 06 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 07 Mar 2022 → 03 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 04 Dec 2021 → 09 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 14 Dec 1997 → 17 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 20 Mar 1967 → 17 Feb 1968 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1012 | 298 | 29.5% | 0 | 29 |
| FA Cup | 406 | 106 | 26.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Premier League | 313 | 90 | 28.7% | 2 | 13 |
| League Cup | 218 | 50 | 22.9% | 1 | 6 |
| League One | 138 | 41 | 29.7% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 3 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 9 | 9 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FA Community Shield | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2025 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2021 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 2018 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | 32 |
| 2016 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 2013 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2011 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 19 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 17 |
| 2009 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 2007 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2005 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2004 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 14 |
| 1999 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 1998 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 1996 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 6 |
| 1994 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 1992 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 4 |
| 1991 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1988 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1983 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1980 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 1979 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 3 |
| 1978 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 1977 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1905 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1904 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1903 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1901 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1900 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1899 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1898 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1897 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1894 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1892 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1891 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1890 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1889 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1888 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1886 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1880 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1879 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1878 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
Crystal Palace
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:30 |
Nottingham Forest
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 19:00 |
Ipswich Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Brentford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 17:30 |
Nottingham Forest
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 16 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 16 Jan 15:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.