AC Monza
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 350 matches (Aug 2017 – Sep 2026), AC Monza drew 94 where the draw model expected 101.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 101.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Mar 2019 → 12 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 03 Dec 2024 → 09 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 03 Sep 2000 → 12 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 30 Mar 2025 → 06 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 18 Sep 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Apr 2001 → 10 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 25 Apr 2022 → 05 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 May 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Apr 2021 → 14 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Apr 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 266 | 89 | 33.5% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie A | 119 | 32 | 26.9% | 2 | 10 |
| Serie C | 90 | 25 | 27.8% | 0 | 16 |
| Coppa Italia | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 18 |
| 2018 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 10 |
| 2000 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 1999 | 39 | 18 | 46.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 16:00 |
Stade Brestois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 16:30 |
AC Monza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:45 |
Torino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
AC Monza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:00 |
Bologna
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
AC Monza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.