☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova
Played
659
Draw %
28.5%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
20
06 Nov 1994 → 23 Apr 1995
Avg top run
11.2
top 10
Draw debt E
1.02
p50
26.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.243
rank #581
Draws
188
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,483
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,673
reached 1 Oct 2011
Rank
#8,505
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
659
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 333 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), Calcio Padova drew 99 where the draw model expected 102.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 100.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 20
06 Nov 1994 → 23 Apr 1995
2 19
07 Jan 1996 → 12 May 1996
3 11
07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026
4 11
03 Mar 2021 → 02 May 2021
5 10
21 Oct 2020 → 06 Dec 2020
6 9
07 Nov 2009 → 09 Jan 2010
7 8
27 Feb 2022 → 10 Apr 2022
8 8
17 Apr 2014 → 30 May 2014
9 8
24 Sep 2011 → 01 Nov 2011
10 8
26 Apr 1998 → 14 Jun 1998
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 06 Nov 1994 → 23 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 07 Jan 1996 → 12 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 03 Mar 2021 → 02 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Oct 2020 → 06 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 07 Nov 2009 → 09 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Feb 2022 → 10 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Apr 2014 → 30 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 24 Sep 2011 → 01 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Apr 1998 → 14 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 328 | 108 | 32.9% | 4 | 11 |
| Serie C | 238 | 68 | 28.6% | 0 | 17 |
| Serie A | 68 | 7 | 10.3% | 19 | 20 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2011 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 1995 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 1994 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
659 matches · page 1 / 17
‹ prev
next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 13:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:00 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 14:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 16:15 |
SS Arezzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.