☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
Palermo
Palermo FC
Played
995
Draw %
30.3%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
12
22 Apr 2006 → 20 Sep 2006
Avg top run
10.1
top 10
Draw debt E
0.56
p50
28.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.185
rank #838
Draws
301
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2010)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,701
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,847
reached 3 Oct 2010
Rank
#292
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
995
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 426 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Palermo drew 134 where the draw model expected 123.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 128.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
24 Sep 2006 → 30 Nov 2006
2 12
22 Apr 2006 → 20 Sep 2006
3 10
01 Dec 2024 → 31 Jan 2025
4 10
07 Feb 2021 → 07 Apr 2021
5 10
30 Jan 2011 → 03 Apr 2011
6 10
30 Nov 2008 → 08 Feb 2009
7 10
22 Apr 2007 → 09 Sep 2007
8 9
29 Nov 2015 → 24 Jan 2016
9 9
04 Nov 2010 → 11 Dec 2010
10 9
23 Aug 2008 → 26 Oct 2008
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Sep 2006 → 30 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Apr 2006 → 20 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Dec 2024 → 31 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Feb 2021 → 07 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 Jan 2011 → 03 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Nov 2008 → 08 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 22 Apr 2007 → 09 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Nov 2015 → 24 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Nov 2010 → 11 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Aug 2008 → 26 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 456 | 127 | 27.9% | 3 | 17 |
| Serie B | 400 | 135 | 33.8% | 2 | 10 |
| Serie C | 72 | 23 | 31.9% | 4 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2018 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
Matches
all results ›
995 matches · page 1 / 25
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 15:15 |
Mantova 1911
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 14:00 |
Palermo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 18:00 |
Pisa SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 18:30 |
Palermo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 06 Nov 19:30 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 19:00 |
Palermo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.