☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
US Avellino
US Avellino
Played
658
Draw %
28.9%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
17
18 Jan 2025 → 24 Aug 2025
Avg top run
10.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.49
p50
24.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.164
rank #971
Draws
190
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,493
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,600
reached 8 Nov 2014
Rank
#5,346
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
658
last 9 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 408 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), US Avellino drew 114 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 126.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
18 Jan 2025 → 24 Aug 2025
2 16
07 Mar 2004 → 12 Jun 2004
3 13
27 Oct 2015 → 16 Jan 2016
4 9
01 Feb 2023 → 19 Mar 2023
5 9
30 Sep 2013 → 23 Nov 2013
6 9
15 Aug 2007 → 06 Oct 2007
7 8
16 Mar 2024 → 25 Aug 2024
8 8
21 Sep 2023 → 29 Oct 2023
9 8
29 Nov 2020 → 23 Dec 2020
10 8
13 May 2017 → 15 Sep 2017
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 Jan 2025 → 24 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 07 Mar 2004 → 12 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 27 Oct 2015 → 16 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 01 Feb 2023 → 19 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 30 Sep 2013 → 23 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Aug 2007 → 06 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Mar 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Sep 2023 → 29 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 29 Nov 2020 → 23 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 13 May 2017 → 15 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 426 | 130 | 30.5% | 2 | 16 |
| Serie C | 204 | 56 | 27.5% | 14 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 3 |
| 2017 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2015 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 2008 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 4 |
| 2007 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2005 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2003 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
Matches
all results ›
658 matches · page 1 / 17
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 15:15 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:00 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:00 |
Virtus Entella
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 14:00 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 18:30 |
Benevento Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 14:00 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.