☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
US Cremonese
US Cremonese
Played
581
Draw %
32.0%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
15
04 Sep 1994 → 08 Jan 1995
Avg top run
8.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
28.0%
p100
31.0%
Draw score
0.092
rank #1,605
Draws
186
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2021)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,678
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,716
reached 20 Dec 2025
Rank
#338
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
581
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 383 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), US Cremonese drew 129 where the draw model expected 111.0 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 2.0 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 115.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
04 Sep 1994 → 08 Jan 1995
2 11
05 Apr 2022 → 30 Aug 2022
3 9
09 Dec 2023 → 03 Feb 2024
4 9
06 Feb 2021 → 16 Mar 2021
5 9
09 Oct 2005 → 26 Nov 2005
6 8
04 Dec 2021 → 15 Feb 2022
7 7
22 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026
8 7
29 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025
9 7
27 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024
10 7
22 Aug 2021 → 02 Oct 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Sep 1994 → 08 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 05 Apr 2022 → 30 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Dec 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 06 Feb 2021 → 16 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Oct 2005 → 26 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 04 Dec 2021 → 15 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 22 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 29 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 27 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Aug 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 354 | 117 | 33.1% | 0 | 9 |
| Serie A | 178 | 56 | 31.5% | 5 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 1998 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1995 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 1994 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 14 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
581 matches · page 1 / 15
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 17:30 |
Pisa SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:00 |
US Cremonese
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:00 |
Mantova 1911
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 14:00 |
US Cremonese
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 18:30 |
LR Vicenza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.5% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 14:00 |
FC Südtirol
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.