☆
· ITA · Serie B
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
US Catanzaro
US Catanzaro
Played
428
Draw %
26.2%
No-draw N
6
Max streak
15
08 Sep 2019 → 08 Feb 2020
Avg top run
9.8
top 10
Draw debt E
2.14
p50
32.0%
p100
38.0%
Draw score
0.404
rank #208
Draws
112
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,527
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,629
reached 18 Dec 2022
Rank
#1,503
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
428
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 340 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), US Catanzaro drew 94 where the draw model expected 102.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
08 Sep 2019 → 08 Feb 2020
2 14
01 Oct 2023 → 20 Jan 2024
3 13
25 Feb 2006 → 28 May 2006
4 11
04 Sep 2005 → 25 Oct 2005
5 8
03 Apr 2022 → 14 Sep 2022
6 8
05 Oct 2021 → 15 Nov 2021
7 8
28 Jan 2018 → 18 Mar 2018
8 7
29 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026
9 7
03 Feb 2021 → 03 Mar 2021
10 7
24 Feb 2019 → 07 Apr 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 08 Sep 2019 → 08 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 Oct 2023 → 20 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 25 Feb 2006 → 28 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 04 Sep 2005 → 25 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 03 Apr 2022 → 14 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Oct 2021 → 15 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 Jan 2018 → 18 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 29 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 Feb 2021 → 03 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 24 Feb 2019 → 07 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 204 | 61 | 29.9% | 9 | 14 |
| Serie C | 204 | 46 | 22.6% | 4 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2022 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 13 |
| 2005 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2004 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
428 matches · page 1 / 11
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Oct 18:30 |
Hellas Verona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 15:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 18:00 |
Benevento Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 14:00 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 18:00 |
SS Juve Stabia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.