Leicester City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 606 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Leicester City drew 138 where the draw model expected 147.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 152.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 28 May 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 27 Jan 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 14 Dec 2024 → 07 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 12 Jul 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 31 Aug 2019 → 08 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 15 Sep 1996 → 03 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 17 Mar 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 23 Apr 2012 → 06 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 20 Oct 2022 → 14 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 24 Sep 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 688 | 174 | 25.3% | 2 | 18 |
| Championship | 644 | 185 | 28.7% | 1 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 323 | 70 | 21.7% | 0 | 6 |
| League Cup | 208 | 47 | 22.6% | 2 | 6 |
| League One | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 0 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FA Community Shield | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2025 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 14 |
| 2024 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2023 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 23 |
| 2022 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 60 | 14 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2019 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2018 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 57 | 14 | 24.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2012 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 14 |
| 2011 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 11 |
| 2009 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 5 |
| 2008 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 48 | 22 | 45.8% | 4 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 11 |
| 2002 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 20 |
| 2000 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 1998 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 15 |
| 1995 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 1994 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 1993 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 11 |
| 1992 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1968 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1965 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1964 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1962 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1960 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1911 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1910 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1909 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Bromley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Luton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.