Hull City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 594 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Hull City drew 153 where the draw model expected 161.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 158.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 22 Oct 2011 → 28 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 27 Nov 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 26 Jan 2013 → 16 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 28 Aug 2012 → 24 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 20 Aug 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 19 Sep 2020 → 24 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 06 Nov 2004 → 08 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 07 Nov 1998 → 23 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 29 Aug 1998 → 20 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Mar 2003 → 16 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 690 | 181 | 26.2% | 2 | 16 |
| League Two | 368 | 111 | 30.2% | 2 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 297 | 84 | 28.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League One | 230 | 57 | 24.8% | 3 | 14 |
| Premier League | 195 | 50 | 25.6% | 1 | 10 |
| League Cup | 152 | 38 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2025 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2023 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2017 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 16 |
| 2012 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 16 |
| 2011 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2010 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 9 |
| 2009 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2008 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2007 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2005 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2004 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2002 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2000 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 1997 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1996 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 11 |
| 1993 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1972 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1960 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1907 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
Hull City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Fulham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Hull City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Hull City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Arsenal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.3% |
|
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Dec 15:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| 27 Feb 15:00 |
Hull City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.