1. FC Heidenheim
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 438 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), 1. FC Heidenheim drew 108 where the draw model expected 114.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16 Oct 2010 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 12 Sep 2021 → 16 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 10 May 2025 → 09 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 28 Feb 2021 → 23 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 10 Nov 2012 → 02 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 18 May 2024 → 24 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 28 Apr 2017 → 17 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 16 Dec 2014 → 10 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 17 Oct 2009 → 06 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 30 Oct 2024 → 15 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 312 | 85 | 27.2% | 0 | 14 |
| 3. Liga | 190 | 48 | 25.3% | 3 | 16 |
| Bundesliga | 102 | 25 | 24.5% | 2 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 13 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2018 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2016 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2009 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 16:30 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:00 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:30 |
Karlsruher SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 12:30 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.