☆
· GER · 3. Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Ingolstadt 04
Played
642
Draw %
28.8%
No-draw N
8
Max streak
14
08 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026
Avg top run
9.7
top 10
Draw debt E
2.05
p50
22.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.457
rank #143
Draws
185
Trophies
🏆 1 × Champion
(2014)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,548
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,769
reached 9 Apr 2016
Rank
#950
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
642
last 14 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 404 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Ingolstadt 04 drew 111 where the draw model expected 107.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 108.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
08 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026
2 11
21 Jun 2020 → 17 Oct 2020
3 11
22 Dec 2018 → 06 Apr 2019
4 11
03 Dec 2016 → 04 Mar 2017
5 11
19 Apr 2013 → 23 Aug 2013
6 9
19 Aug 2011 → 26 Oct 2011
7 8
29 Aug 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
8 8
17 Oct 2010 → 28 Nov 2010
9 7
04 Oct 2025 → 29 Nov 2025
10 7
30 Jan 2021 → 13 Mar 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 08 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 21 Jun 2020 → 17 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 22 Dec 2018 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 03 Dec 2016 → 04 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 19 Apr 2013 → 23 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 Aug 2011 → 26 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 29 Aug 2026 → 14 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Oct 2010 → 28 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 Oct 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 30 Jan 2021 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 306 | 95 | 31.1% | 1 | 11 |
| 3. Liga | 237 | 69 | 29.1% | 7 | 11 |
| Bundesliga | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 0 | 11 |
| DFB-Pokal | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 14 |
| 2025 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2019 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 35 | 16 | 45.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2012 | 35 | 16 | 45.7% | 6 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2010 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
642 matches · page 1 / 17
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Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sun, 22 Nov 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
☆
GER · 3. Liga
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 12:00 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 12:00 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 13:00 |
TSV Havelse
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 13:00 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 13:00 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 12:30 |
VfB Stuttgart II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Nov 18:30 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 13:00 |
SC Verl
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 13:00 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Dec 13:00 |
SV Meppen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.