Fredrikstad FK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 309 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Fredrikstad FK drew 90 where the draw model expected 69.3 from those particular fixtures — about 21 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 66.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 16 May 2012 → 18 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 Jul 1962 → 21 Oct 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 06 May 1956 → 09 Sep 1956 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 01 Jul 1972 → 15 Oct 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 09 May 2010 → 28 Jul 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 02 Aug 2009 → 01 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 19 May 2005 → 07 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 01 Aug 1967 → 22 Oct 1967 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 13 Jun 1965 → 10 Oct 1965 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 12 May 2013 → 04 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 866 | 202 | 23.3% | 0 | 22 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 439 | 67 | 15.3% | 2 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 342 | 92 | 26.9% | 1 | 11 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2014 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2012 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 22 |
| 2011 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2010 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2009 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 13 |
| 2008 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 2006 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2005 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 13 |
| 2004 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 1991 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 4 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1981 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 1980 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 1975 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 1972 | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | 14 |
| 1971 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 1970 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1969 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 1968 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 10 |
| 1967 | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | 13 |
| 1966 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1965 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 1964 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1963 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 9 |
| 1962 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 17 |
| 1961 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 6 |
| 1960 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 8 |
| 1959 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 1958 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 1957 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 1956 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 1955 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 1954 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 1953 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 11 |
| 1952 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1951 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 9 |
| 1950 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1949 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 1948 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 9 |
| 1947 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1946 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1945 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1940 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1936 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1935 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1931 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1918 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1917 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.