☆
· NOR · Eliteserien
Team ☆
all results ›
NOR · Club
Molde FK
Molde FK
Played
1,753
Draw %
19.9%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
21
05 Jul 2020 → 05 Nov 2020
Avg top run
16.7
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
18.0%
p100
19.0%
Draw score
0.057
rank #1,907
Draws
348
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,921
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,081
reached 23 Oct 2022
Rank
#59
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,753
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 476 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Molde FK drew 81 where the draw model expected 95.6 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 107.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 21
05 Jul 2020 → 05 Nov 2020
2 20
17 Apr 2011 → 07 Aug 2011
3 18
12 Jun 2005 → 02 Oct 2005
4 18
13 May 2003 → 19 Aug 2003
5 16
31 Aug 2014 → 22 Apr 2015
6 16
04 Oct 2013 → 07 May 2014
7 15
11 Sep 2022 → 12 Mar 2023
8 15
07 Apr 2019 → 22 Jun 2019
9 14
23 Apr 2023 → 28 Jun 2023
10 14
08 Jun 1977 → 08 Oct 1977
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 05 Jul 2020 → 05 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 17 Apr 2011 → 07 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 12 Jun 2005 → 02 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 13 May 2003 → 19 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 31 Aug 2014 → 22 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 04 Oct 2013 → 07 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 11 Sep 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 07 Apr 2019 → 22 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 23 Apr 2023 → 28 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 08 Jun 1977 → 08 Oct 1977 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1258 | 275 | 21.9% | 0 | 18 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 318 | 40 | 12.6% | 2 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 82 | 19 | 23.2% | 1 | 8 |
| 1. divisjon | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 8 | 12 |
| UEFA Conference League | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 14 |
| 2022 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | 21 |
| 2019 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 15 |
| 2018 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2016 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2013 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 20 |
| 2010 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 5 |
| 2007 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 13 |
| 2006 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 18 |
| 2004 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 3 |
| 2003 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 18 |
| 2002 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2000 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 13 |
| 1999 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 12 |
| 1998 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 12 |
| 1997 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 1996 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 7 |
| 1995 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 1992 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 9 |
| 1991 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1990 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 1989 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 1988 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 6 |
| 1987 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 1986 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 1985 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 1984 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 7 |
| 1977 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 14 |
| 1976 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 1975 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 1974 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 1973 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1957 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1956 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
1,753 matches · page 1 / 44
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
Sun, 01 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Fri, 20 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sat, 28 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Fri, 04 Dec 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 13 Dec 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
|
||||||
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 15:00 |
Molde FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 18:15 |
Molde FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 17:00 |
Molde FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 13:30 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 16:00 |
Sandefjord Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 18:00 |
Molde FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Nov 17:00 |
Rosenborg BK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Fri, 04 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Dec 18:00 |
Molde FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 13 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Dec 16:00 |
Fredrikstad FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.