Falkirk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 489 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Falkirk drew 124 where the draw model expected 114.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 115.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 Nov 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 07 Apr 2018 → 27 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 09 Jan 1999 → 21 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 13 Jul 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 07 Aug 2010 → 26 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Apr 2005 → 27 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 30 Dec 2017 → 17 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 23 Sep 2000 → 02 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 18 Oct 2024 → 21 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 13 Nov 2021 → 29 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 684 | 175 | 25.6% | 3 | 17 |
| Scottish Premiership | 307 | 76 | 24.8% | 0 | 18 |
| Scottish League One | 158 | 42 | 26.6% | 0 | 9 |
| Scottish League Cup | 92 | 12 | 13.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 13 |
| 2023 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 20 |
| 2017 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2013 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2009 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2008 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2007 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2006 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 12 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 1999 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 17 |
| 1998 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 1996 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1995 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Falkirk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Falkirk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Aberdeen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:00 |
Falkirk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:00 |
Heart of Midlothian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.