What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 421 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), SK Brann drew 97 where the draw model expected 91.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 94.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 23 Sep 2012 → 29 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 18 Jul 2022 → 26 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 11 Apr 1999 → 08 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 20 May 2007 → 25 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 04 May 1958 → 12 Oct 1958 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 16 Sep 2011 → 01 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 24 Jun 2023 → 21 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 09 Aug 2017 → 19 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 21 May 1995 → 30 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 31 Jul 1988 → 09 Oct 1988 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1521 | 350 | 23.0% | 3 | 22 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 487 | 61 | 12.5% | 2 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 60 | 14 | 23.3% | 16 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 12 |
| 2025 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2024 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 16 |
| 2022 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 16 |
| 2021 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2016 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 11 |
| 2013 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 17 |
| 2012 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2010 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2008 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 19 |
| 2006 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2005 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2004 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2003 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2002 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 10 |
| 2001 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 6 |
| 2000 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | 22 |
| 1998 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1997 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 1996 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 12 |
| 1995 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 13 |
| 1994 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 9 |
| 1993 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 1992 | 25 | 13 | 52.0% | 7 |
| 1991 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 1990 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1989 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 10 |
| 1988 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 1987 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1985 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 12 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 5 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1981 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 9 |
| 1978 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 10 |
| 1977 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 1976 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 1975 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 1974 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 1973 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 1972 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 6 |
| 1971 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 1970 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 1969 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 10 |
| 1968 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1967 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1964 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 9 |
| 1963 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 1962 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 7 |
| 1961 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 1960 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1959 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 5 |
| 1958 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 1957 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 1956 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1955 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 1954 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 1953 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1952 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 11 |
| 1951 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 1950 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1949 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1948 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1947 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1927 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1926 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1925 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1924 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1920 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1919 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1918 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1917 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1916 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 12:00 |
IK Start
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:00 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:00 |
Vålerenga Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Lillestrøm SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
Grorud IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup Round of 16 |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:30 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Sint-Truidense VV
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 18:15 |
Fredrikstad FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.