What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

W W D D D W W D D L W D L W D D L W D D W L W D L L L L W W

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 584 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Bolton Wanderers drew 151 where the draw model expected 157.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 155.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	33	05 Mar 2011 → 26 Dec 2011	▸ matches
2	18	02 Feb 2019 → 03 Aug 2019	▸ matches
3	17	27 Sep 2016 → 31 Dec 2016	▸ matches
4	15	26 Oct 2008 → 17 Jan 2009	▸ matches
5	15	27 Dec 1995 → 23 Mar 1996	▸ matches
6	14	11 Nov 2000 → 28 Jan 2001	▸ matches
7	12	16 Sep 2014 → 07 Nov 2014	▸ matches
8	12	23 Feb 2013 → 20 Apr 2013	▸ matches
9	11	04 Mar 2025 → 21 Apr 2025	▸ matches
10	11	19 Aug 2017 → 14 Oct 2017	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
Championship	560	166	29.6%	6	17
Premier League	494	128	25.9%	0	28
FA Cup	409	100	24.5%	2	5
League One	310	82	26.5%	1	15
League Cup	201	45	22.4%	1	8
League Two	46	10	21.7%	8	8
UEFA Europa League	18	10	55.6%	1	2
Club Friendlies	16	5	31.3%	1	3
FA Community Shield	1	0	0.0%	1	1

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	37	14	37.8%	6
2025	51	12	23.5%	11
2024	50	15	30.0%	8
2023	50	8	16.0%	10
2022	50	12	24.0%	10
2021	52	14	26.9%	8
2020	36	9	25.0%	9
2019	45	8	17.8%	18
2018	48	13	27.1%	5
2017	52	15	28.8%	11
2016	56	10	17.9%	17
2015	57	21	36.8%	7
2014	52	14	26.9%	12
2013	49	16	32.7%	12
2012	50	14	28.0%	11
2011	46	4	8.7%	33
2010	46	12	26.1%	11
2009	40	13	32.5%	6
2008	40	7	17.5%	12
2007	52	19	36.5%	7
2006	47	12	25.5%	9
2005	51	13	25.5%	8
2004	46	11	23.9%	10
2003	42	16	38.1%	6
2002	41	13	31.7%	9
2001	48	19	39.6%	5
2000	56	12	21.4%	9
1999	54	15	27.8%	6
1998	49	15	30.6%	6
1997	49	15	30.6%	7
1996	49	12	24.5%	13
1995	53	14	26.4%	7
1994	58	14	24.1%	10
1993	33	11	33.3%	8
1992	10	3	30.0%	4
1991	8	1	12.5%	5
1990	6	0	0.0%	6
1989	9	4	44.4%	3
1988	6	1	16.7%	2
1987	5	0	0.0%	4
1986	6	3	50.0%	2
1985	5	1	20.0%	3
1984	7	2	28.6%	3
1983	6	1	16.7%	2
1982	6	1	16.7%	3
1981	4	1	25.0%	2
1980	6	1	16.7%	2
1979	3	1	33.3%	1
1978	6	1	16.7%	3
1977	6	1	16.7%	3
1976	13	6	46.2%	2
1975	3	1	33.3%	1
1974	5	2	40.0%	1
1973	11	5	45.5%	2
1972	7	1	14.3%	2
1971	9	2	22.2%	3
1970	4	1	25.0%	1
1969	6	2	33.3%	2
1968	2	0	0.0%	1
1967	6	2	33.3%	2
1966	4	1	25.0%	1
1965	5	0	0.0%	3
1964	5	2	40.0%	1
1963	3	0	0.0%	2
1962	2	0	0.0%	1
1961	5	2	40.0%	1
1960	8	2	25.0%	4
1959	6	2	33.3%	2
1958	8	1	12.5%	6
1957	1	0	0.0%	1
1956	2	0	0.0%	2
1955	2	0	0.0%	2
1954	6	2	33.3%	2
1953	8	2	25.0%	5
1952	1	0	0.0%	1
1951	2	0	0.0%	2
1950	3	1	33.3%	1
1949	3	2	66.7%	1
1948	1	0	0.0%	1
1947	3	1	33.3%	1
1946	9	2	22.2%	5
1939	3	2	66.7%	1
1938	1	0	0.0%	1
1937	5	2	40.0%	2
1936	2	1	50.0%	1
1935	8	3	37.5%	2
1934	5	1	20.0%	3
1933	3	0	0.0%	3
1932	2	1	50.0%	1
1931	3	1	33.3%	1
1930	1	0	0.0%	1
1929	8	2	25.0%	3
1928	2	0	0.0%	2
1927	4	1	25.0%	2
1926	9	3	33.3%	3
1925	3	1	33.3%	1
1924	3	1	33.3%	2
1923	7	1	14.3%	4
1922	2	0	0.0%	2
1921	1	0	0.0%	1
1920	1	0	0.0%	1
1915	7	2	28.6%	4
1914	3	0	0.0%	3
1913	1	0	0.0%	1
1912	3	0	0.0%	3
1911	1	0	0.0%	1
1910	1	0	0.0%	1
1909	1	0	0.0%	1
1908	5	2	40.0%	1
1907	4	1	25.0%	2
1906	1	0	0.0%	1
1905	4	1	25.0%	3
1904	6	1	16.7%	5
1903	1	0	0.0%	1
1902	2	0	0.0%	2
1901	2	0	0.0%	2
1900	1	0	0.0%	1
1899	2	1	50.0%	1
1898	4	1	25.0%	2
1897	4	2	50.0%	2
1896	5	1	20.0%	3
1895	3	0	0.0%	3
1894	5	0	0.0%	5
1893	2	1	50.0%	1
1892	1	0	0.0%	1
1891	2	1	50.0%	1
1890	4	0	0.0%	4
1887	3	2	66.7%	1
1886	3	0	0.0%	3
1885	1	0	0.0%	1
1884	2	1	50.0%	1
1883	6	2	33.3%	3
1882	2	0	0.0%	2
1881	3	1	33.3%	2

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
05 Nov 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–0	Grimsby Town	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 1
29 Oct 2016	Bolton Wanderers	3–1	Port Vale	H	ENG · League One
24 Oct 2016	Bury	0–2	Bolton Wanderers	A	ENG · League One
18 Oct 2016	Millwall	0–2	Bolton Wanderers	A	ENG · League One
15 Oct 2016	Bolton Wanderers	2–0	Oldham Athletic	H	ENG · League One
08 Oct 2016	Swindon Town	0–1	Bolton Wanderers	A	ENG · League One
01 Oct 2016	Bolton Wanderers	0–2	Oxford United	A	ENG · League One
27 Sep 2016	Rochdale	1–0	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · League One
24 Sep 2016	Bolton Wanderers	0–0	Bradford City	D	ENG · League One
17 Sep 2016	Walsall	1–0	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · League One
10 Sep 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–1	Milton Keynes Dons	D	ENG · League One
03 Sep 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–1	Southend United	D	ENG · League One
27 Aug 2016	Charlton Athletic	1–1	Bolton Wanderers	D	ENG · League One
20 Aug 2016	Bolton Wanderers	2–1	Fleetwood Town	H	ENG · League One
17 Aug 2016	Bristol Rovers	1–2	Bolton Wanderers	A	ENG · League One
13 Aug 2016	AFC Wimbledon	1–2	Bolton Wanderers	A	ENG · League One
09 Aug 2016	Blackpool	4–2	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · League Cup Round 1 · Leg 1
06 Aug 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–0	Sheffield United	H	ENG · League One
30 Jul 2016	Bolton Wanderers	0–0	Preston North End	D	ITL · Club Friendlies
26 Jul 2016	Burnley	2–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ITL · Club Friendlies
19 Jul 2016	Tranmere Rovers	1–2	Bolton Wanderers	A	ITL · Club Friendlies
16 Jul 2016	Mansfield Town	2–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ITL · Club Friendlies
07 May 2016	Fulham	1–0	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
30 Apr 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–0	Hull City	H	ENG · Championship
23 Apr 2016	Cardiff City	2–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
19 Apr 2016	Bolton Wanderers	0–0	Charlton Athletic	D	ENG · Championship
16 Apr 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–2	Middlesbrough	A	ENG · Championship
09 Apr 2016	Derby County	4–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
05 Apr 2016	Brentford	3–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
02 Apr 2016	Bolton Wanderers	0–1	Reading	A	ENG · Championship
19 Mar 2016	Bristol City	6–0	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
12 Mar 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–2	Preston North End	A	ENG · Championship
08 Mar 2016	Bolton Wanderers	2–2	Ipswich Town	D	ENG · Championship
05 Mar 2016	Leeds United	2–1	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
27 Feb 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–2	Burnley	A	ENG · Championship
23 Feb 2016	Birmingham City	1–0	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
20 Feb 2016	Bolton Wanderers	1–1	Queens Park Rangers	D	ENG · Championship
13 Feb 2016	Brighton & Hove Albion	3–2	Bolton Wanderers	H	ENG · Championship
06 Feb 2016	Bolton Wanderers	2–1	Rotherham United	H	ENG · Championship
02 Feb 2016	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2–2	Bolton Wanderers	D	ENG · Championship

2,055 matches · page 13 / 52 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
10 Oct 14:00	Bolton Wanderers	vs	Stoke City	– / – / –	28.1%	ENG · Championship
Tue, 13 Oct 2026
13 Oct 18:45	Wolverhampton Wanderers	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	23.0%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
17 Oct 14:00	Southampton	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	20.9%	ENG · Championship
Fri, 23 Oct 2026
23 Oct 19:00	Bolton Wanderers	vs	Middlesbrough	– / – / –	27.0%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 15:00	Bolton Wanderers	vs	Bristol City	– / – / –	29.2%	ENG · Championship
Tue, 03 Nov 2026
03 Nov 19:45	Charlton Athletic	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	29.0%	ENG · Championship
Fri, 06 Nov 2026
06 Nov 20:00	Derby County	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	28.1%	ENG · Championship

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.