Alloa Athletic
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 475 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Alloa Athletic drew 116 where the draw model expected 114.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 111.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 Feb 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 05 Aug 1997 → 10 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 26 Dec 2011 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 26 Apr 2025 → 07 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 12 Jan 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 15 Mar 2014 → 13 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 01 May 2004 → 23 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 10 Nov 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 17 Oct 2015 → 30 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 09 Jul 2016 → 21 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 692 | 175 | 25.3% | 2 | 18 |
| Scottish Championship | 271 | 70 | 25.8% | 1 | 15 |
| Scottish League Cup | 74 | 14 | 18.9% | 1 | 6 |
| Scottish League Two | 72 | 12 | 16.7% | 0 | 19 |
| Scottish Cup | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 16 |
| 2024 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 22 |
| 2022 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 16 |
| 2018 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 13 |
| 2015 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 16 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2012 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 17 |
| 2011 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2008 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2006 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2004 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 16 |
| 2003 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2001 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 1999 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 1997 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 18 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.