T Bramall
Over 231 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), T Bramall drew 56 where the draw model expected 61.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 59 | 13 | 22.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 56 | 19 | 33.9% |
| ENG · National League | 47 | 12 | 25.5% |
| ENG · League One | 35 | 6 | 17.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 34 | 6 | 17.6% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| 2025/26 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| 2024/25 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| 2023/24 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2022/23 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% |
| 2021/22 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2020/21 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% |
| 2019/20 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2018/19 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% |
| 2017/18 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| 2016/17 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Watford | 2–0 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Sunderland | 0–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Brentford | 1–1 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 May 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2–2 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 May 2026 | Leeds United | 3–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Newcastle United | 1–2 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Burnley | 0–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–1 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Fulham | 2–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Coventry City | 3–1 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–1 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Jan 2026 | West Ham United | 3–1 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Manchester City | 1–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leeds United | 4–1 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Dec 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 2–2 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Sunderland | 1–1 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Stoke City | 1–0 | Wrexham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Leeds United | 1–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Burnley | 1–1 | Nottingham Forest | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Bournemouth | 1–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 May 2025 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Liverpool | 5–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Hull City | 2–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Southampton | 0–3 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Luton Town | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Leicester City | 0–3 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Chelsea | 4–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Portsmouth | 2–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Fulham | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Norwich City | 5–1 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Jan 2025 | West Ham United | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Sunderland | 1–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Bournemouth | 0–0 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Hull City | 2–1 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Newcastle United | 4–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Millwall | 0–1 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Preston North End | 1–1 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Luton Town | 1–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |