S Purkiss
Over 184 matches (Aug 2017 – May 2025), S Purkiss drew 50 where the draw model expected 50.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 74 | 20 | 27.0% |
| ENG · League Two | 71 | 16 | 22.5% |
| ENG · National League | 39 | 14 | 35.9% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| 2023/24 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2022/23 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2021/22 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 2 | 7.1% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% |
| 2018/19 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| 2017/18 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 3–1 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Newport County | 0–0 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Bromley | 2–3 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Walsall | 1–3 | Grimsby Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Crawley Town | 3–1 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Colchester United | 1–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Mansfield Town | 1–2 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Notts County | 2–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Dec 2024 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Leyton Orient | 3–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Oldham Athletic | 3–2 | Wealdstone | H | ENG · National League |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Charlton Athletic | 2–2 | Wrexham | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Exeter City | 1–2 | Reading | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Notts County | 0–1 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–1 | Rotherham United | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Wealdstone | 0–3 | Barnet | A | ENG · National League |
| 07 Sep 2024 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Bromley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Mansfield Town | 3–3 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Crawley Town | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Mansfield Town | 2–1 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Barrow | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–1 | Oxford United | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Harrogate Town | 3–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Salford City | 3–1 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Walsall | 3–1 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Fleetwood Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Wrexham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Cheltenham Town | 3–2 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Bristol Rovers | 1–2 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Portsmouth | 4–1 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Charlton Athletic | 1–2 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Harrogate Town | 3–1 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Colchester United | 0–1 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2023 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | Sutton United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Nov 2023 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Bolton Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Swindon Town | 2–4 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Cambridge United | 1–0 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Crawley Town | 2–4 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Colchester United | 1–3 | Morecambe | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Cheltenham Town | 0–2 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Reading | 0–0 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Sep 2023 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Oxford United | 1–2 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Exeter City | 0–0 | Blackpool | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Sutton United | 5–1 | Notts County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |