R Martin
Over 134 matches (Aug 2003 – Oct 2026), R Martin drew 35 where the draw model expected 35.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 106 | 26 | 24.5% |
| ENG · League Two | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| ENG · League One | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| ENG · Premier League | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| 2025/26 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| 2024/25 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| 2023/24 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| 2015/16 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| 2014/15 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% |
| 2013/14 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| 2010/11 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| 2009/10 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2008/09 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 2003/04 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Oct 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–3 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Port Vale | 1–0 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Salford City | 1–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Stockport County | 1–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Luton Town | 0–1 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Notts County | D | ENG · League One |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Chesterfield | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Barrow | 1–2 | Yeovil Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 0–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Bromley | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Leyton Orient | 0–0 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Eastleigh | 2–1 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Bromley | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Colchester United | 0–1 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Feb 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 3–1 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Harrogate Town | 0–1 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cambridge United | 4–2 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 0–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Forest Green Rovers | 2–1 | Halifax Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 2–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Truro City | 1–0 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sutton United | 4–2 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Woking | 0–0 | Rochdale | D | ENG · National League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 1–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Barrow | 0–0 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Oct 2025 | Brackley Town | 0–2 | Wealdstone | A | ENG · National League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Salford City | 3–2 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Eastleigh | 2–1 | Altrincham | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–1 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Aldershot Town | 2–3 | Boston United | A | ENG · National League |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Gillingham | 1–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Barnet | 1–1 | Eastleigh | D | ENG · National League |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–1 | Hartlepool United | D | ENG · National League |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Yeovil Town | 1–0 | Fylde | H | ENG · National League |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–0 | Woking | H | ENG · National League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Maidenhead United | 0–1 | Sutton United | A | ENG · National League |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Aldershot Town | 3–2 | Hartlepool United | H | ENG · National League |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Oldham Athletic | 2–2 | Altrincham | D | ENG · National League |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Woking | 1–1 | Ebbsfleet United | D | ENG · National League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Yeovil Town | 2–2 | Eastleigh | D | ENG · National League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Aldershot Town | 3–4 | Halifax Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Maidenhead United | 0–5 | Gateshead | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Ebbsfleet United | 2–2 | Wealdstone | D | ENG · National League |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Solihull Moors | 4–3 | Barnet | H | ENG · National League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Yeovil Town | 1–0 | Dagenham & Redbridge | H | ENG · National League |