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R Madley

2008–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 358
Draws 105
Draw % 29.3% +5.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 358 matches (Aug 2008 – Oct 2026), R Madley drew 105 where the draw model expected 96.7 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 95.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 107 38 35.5%
ENG · Premier League 93 28 30.1%
ENG · League One 79 21 26.6%
ENG · League Two 61 15 24.6%
ENG · National League 18 3 16.7%
By season 17 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 2 33.3%
2025/26 18 9 50.0%
2024/25 24 7 29.2%
2023/24 25 9 36.0%
2022/23 22 8 36.4%
2021/22 30 10 33.3%
2020/21 31 7 22.6%
2017/18 24 8 33.3%
2016/17 32 7 21.9%
2015/16 29 9 31.0%
2014/15 26 9 34.6%
2013/14 22 7 31.8%
2012/13 1 0 0.0%
2011/12 28 5 17.9%
2010/11 22 5 22.7%
2009/10 12 3 25.0%
2008/09 6 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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