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P Melin

2002–2009 · 5 competitions
Also recorded as: Melin, P
Matches 113
Draws 40
Draw % 35.4% +11.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 113 matches (Mar 2002 – Apr 2009), P Melin drew 40 where the draw model expected 32.1 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 30.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 49 21 42.9%
ENG · League One 43 14 32.6%
ENG · Championship 10 1 10.0%
ENG · National League 10 4 40.0%
SCO · Scottish Championship 1 0 0.0%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2008/09 10 4 40.0%
2007/08 26 7 26.9%
2006/07 24 6 25.0%
2005/06 30 13 43.3%
2004/05 22 10 45.5%
2001/02 1 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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