O Yates
Over 264 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), O Yates drew 72 where the draw model expected 72.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 71.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 126 | 32 | 25.4% |
| ENG · League Two | 110 | 31 | 28.2% |
| ENG · National League | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| 2025/26 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% |
| 2024/25 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2023/24 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% |
| 2022/23 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2021/22 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| 2020/21 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% |
| 2018/19 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 2017/18 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| 2016/17 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| 2015/16 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Blackpool | 1–4 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Fylde | 1–2 | Altrincham | A | ENG · National League |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Reading | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Luton Town | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stevenage | 2–2 | Doncaster Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Oxford United | 2–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Exeter City | 1–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Barnet | 6–2 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · National League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 2–1 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Bromley | 1–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 0–4 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Bradford City | 2–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Harrogate Town | 1–1 | Cheltenham Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 3–1 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Cardiff City | 3–1 | Luton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Northampton Town | 3–1 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Swindon Town | 3–1 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Salford City | 0–1 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Peterborough United | 3–1 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Blackpool | 4–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–1 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Swindon Town | 2–2 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Salford City | 0–0 | Cambridge United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 1–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 1–2 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Oct 2025 | Rotherham United | 2–2 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Carlisle United | 0–2 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Reading | 2–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Luton Town | 2–3 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 23 Aug 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Northampton Town | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Exeter City | 1–2 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 03 May 2025 | Morecambe | 1–2 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Exeter City | 3–1 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Halifax Town | 0–3 | Altrincham | A | ENG · National League |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 2–1 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 1–2 | Birmingham City | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Swindon Town | 3–3 | Cheltenham Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Mar 2025 | York City | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · National League |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 1–2 | Reading | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Rotherham United | 0–1 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Morecambe | 0–1 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |