O Langford
Over 559 matches (Aug 2005 – Oct 2026), O Langford drew 144 where the draw model expected 155.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 152.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 322 | 81 | 25.2% |
| ENG · League Two | 106 | 26 | 24.5% |
| ENG · League One | 98 | 29 | 29.6% |
| ENG · National League | 32 | 7 | 21.9% |
| ENG · Premier League | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2025/26 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% |
| 2024/25 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2023/24 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% |
| 2022/23 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2021/22 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 13 | 46.4% |
| 2019/20 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2018/19 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2017/18 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% |
| 2016/17 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% |
| 2015/16 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% |
| 2014/15 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2013/14 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2011/12 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% |
| 2010/11 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2009/10 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% |
| 2008/09 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% |
| 2007/08 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| 2006/07 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| 2005/06 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Derby County | 0–1 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Portsmouth | 3–2 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Sep 2026 | West Ham United | 3–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Millwall | 0–3 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Aug 2026 | York City | 2–1 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Stoke City | 1–2 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Wrexham | 2–2 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Swansea City | 1–2 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Oxford United | 1–1 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–0 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Derby County | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Southampton | 5–0 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Middlesbrough | 0–0 | Oxford United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Hull City | 2–3 | Bristol City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–3 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 4–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | Blackburn Rovers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Swansea City | 2–1 | Wrexham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 1–2 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Dec 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–1 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2–3 | Preston North End | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 3–2 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 3–2 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Derby County | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Watford | 2–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Leicester City | 0–0 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Rotherham United | 2–2 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–2 | Birmingham City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–1 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 03 May 2025 | Derby County | 0–0 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Luton Town | 1–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Bristol City | 2–1 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–1 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Sheffield United | 3–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Swansea City | 0–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 0–3 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Coventry City | 2–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Watford | 0–4 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Sheffield United | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Oxford United | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Sunderland | 2–2 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–2 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Watford | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Blackburn Rovers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Sheffield United | 0–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Derby County | 4–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Stoke City | 0–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |