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N Swarbrick

2005–2018 · 4 competitions
Matches 362
Draws 94
Draw % 26.0% +1.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 362 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2018), N Swarbrick drew 94 where the draw model expected 95.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 96.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 132 33 25.0%
ENG · Championship 96 28 29.2%
ENG · League One 70 15 21.4%
ENG · League Two 64 18 28.1%
By season 13 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2017/18 22 4 18.2%
2016/17 28 4 14.3%
2015/16 31 9 29.0%
2014/15 28 5 17.9%
2013/14 27 8 29.6%
2012/13 18 5 27.8%
2011/12 26 11 42.3%
2010/11 33 7 21.2%
2009/10 30 10 33.3%
2008/09 29 7 24.1%
2007/08 33 12 36.4%
2006/07 29 3 10.3%
2005/06 28 9 32.1%
Latest matches last 50

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