▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

Mike Dean

2000–2022 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: Dean, M. L, M Dean, M. L Dean
Matches 686
Draws 197
Draw % 28.7% +4.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 686 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2022), Mike Dean drew 197 where the draw model expected 174.9 from those particular fixtures — about 22 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 177.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 560 159 28.4%
ENG · Championship 79 25 31.6%
ENG · League One 26 9 34.6%
ENG · League Two 21 4 19.0%
By season 22 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2021/22 27 8 29.6%
2020/21 26 8 30.8%
2019/20 27 7 25.9%
2018/19 33 6 18.2%
2017/18 26 7 26.9%
2016/17 33 9 27.3%
2015/16 37 10 27.0%
2014/15 32 11 34.4%
2013/14 33 11 33.3%
2012/13 28 7 25.0%
2011/12 36 4 11.1%
2010/11 32 10 31.3%
2009/10 35 14 40.0%
2008/09 37 9 24.3%
2007/08 38 18 47.4%
2006/07 35 8 22.9%
2005/06 33 5 15.2%
2004/05 18 5 27.8%
2003/04 31 9 29.0%
2002/03 29 12 41.4%
2001/02 29 11 37.9%
2000/01 31 8 25.8%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy