▦ FDB4
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Match official

Mark Warren

2000–2005 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: M Warren, M. R. Warren, M. Warren, Warren, M. R.
Matches 124
Draws 36
Draw % 29.0% +4.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 124 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2005), Mark Warren drew 36 where the draw model expected 34.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 33.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 54 19 35.2%
ENG · League Two 43 9 20.9%
ENG · Championship 27 8 29.6%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 26 7 26.9%
2003/04 27 9 33.3%
2002/03 31 9 29.0%
2001/02 18 5 27.8%
2000/01 22 6 27.3%
Latest matches last 50

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