▦ FDB4
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Match official

M Haywood

2005–2017 · 4 competitions
Matches 309
Draws 83
Draw % 26.9% +2.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 309 matches (Aug 2005 – Apr 2017), M Haywood drew 83 where the draw model expected 86.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 84.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 122 33 27.0%
ENG · League One 96 23 24.0%
ENG · Championship 82 26 31.7%
ENG · National League 9 1 11.1%
By season 11 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2016/17 25 5 20.0%
2015/16 29 12 41.4%
2014/15 32 12 37.5%
2013/14 31 4 12.9%
2011/12 36 12 33.3%
2010/11 33 9 27.3%
2009/10 31 9 29.0%
2008/09 32 9 28.1%
2007/08 33 7 21.2%
2006/07 19 3 15.8%
2005/06 8 1 12.5%
Latest matches last 50

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